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Nov 9, 2012
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>> florida. but it was so tight and obama was a little bit ahead and he continued to be ahead and when you look at the counties -- >> will the route to 70 without florida? >> florida was not a good sign. so you no end in terms of again, when we look at the swing voters as well as terms of how did they do, when you look at the exit poll data, and dependence max were from it running usually when we are having these discussions independents help determine the election but that didn't happen this time, again because of all these other margins that were going on in the other subgroups. >> one of the things that was going on among the many things in the blogosphere leading up to the election was the role of independents and can either onee of you address, for people that were seeing such wildly different numbers against independents what may explain one poll differently from another in terms of how they asked the questions and that sort of thing? >> sure. i will take it and margie of course can jump in
>> florida. but it was so tight and obama was a little bit ahead and he continued to be ahead and when you look at the counties -- >> will the route to 70 without florida? >> florida was not a good sign. so you no end in terms of again, when we look at the swing voters as well as terms of how did they do, when you look at the exit poll data, and dependence max were from it running usually when we are having these discussions independents help determine the election but that...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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with florida his electoral vote victory is 332-206. bush was 51-48 margin in 2004 india 286 votes and obama was slightly less it appears against 332. i think there is a certain structure of demographic advantage for democrats in the electoral college in this era. democratic voters tend to be clustered into large metropolitan areas and in particular neighborhoods and they give them a craft an initial advantage in the electoral college. president obama got 57% or more of the popular vote in 11 states and the district of columbia and they have 163 electoral votes. romney won 13 states by such margins but they only have 104 electoral votes of basically the democrats have a bigger hunting ground and and a larger base in the electoral college and the mere hunting ground to go find those votes and barack obama into campaigns has been successful with 365 and apparently 332 this time in 303 if he doesn't carry florida. this election cycle has been compared by many people to 2004, the election and re-election of an adnan, and by mobilizing suppo
with florida his electoral vote victory is 332-206. bush was 51-48 margin in 2004 india 286 votes and obama was slightly less it appears against 332. i think there is a certain structure of demographic advantage for democrats in the electoral college in this era. democratic voters tend to be clustered into large metropolitan areas and in particular neighborhoods and they give them a craft an initial advantage in the electoral college. president obama got 57% or more of the popular vote in 11...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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even in florida was 61-39. cuban-americans are no longer the majority in florida among latinos but also the younger generation of cuban-americans voting like puerto rican or dominicans, not voting like they anti-castro parents and grandparents. asian-americans was the biggest shift, 75-25 for obama and i remember covering the 2000 race, gore bush. i think loesh actually want the american vote -- asian-american vote. the asian-american vote was a swing vote leaning republican and yesterday it was 3-1 democratic. urban rural, they are mirror images and it's roughly 60-40 and demographically the urban areas or rural a marriott. if you want to bet on rural population going ahead. young and old. again, the youngest voters are the most pro-obama although i will say that the 18 to 21 voters are less pro-obama or were less pro-obama than the people slightly older than they are, the 21 to 30 but still, which would you rather have, young voters who are going to be voters for 60 or 70 years or people who were 21 when rona
even in florida was 61-39. cuban-americans are no longer the majority in florida among latinos but also the younger generation of cuban-americans voting like puerto rican or dominicans, not voting like they anti-castro parents and grandparents. asian-americans was the biggest shift, 75-25 for obama and i remember covering the 2000 race, gore bush. i think loesh actually want the american vote -- asian-american vote. the asian-american vote was a swing vote leaning republican and yesterday it...
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Nov 8, 2012
11/12
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it did provide a sufficient votes for democrats in florida, virginia, and ohio. so, you know, the signs were they did pretty well if not as well as twaict and then did well enough. >> just on the one brief comment on the early voting karl rove whose analysis was not distinguished this time either. [laughter] also i've got kind bemewsessed when he said the early voting isn't going to work. they have a massive effort to get the early votes in part of ohio where there's been the war on coal and those republicans who are going to come forward. i thought what he's saying is axelrod are more ons. he's getting anybody who says they were a democrat out to the polls. they really targeting individuals in an extraordinarily successful way. you don't need to look at the overnumber numbers. it's who they were turning out. they did it in a fashion that would be enhanced in the future in part because of efforts to block votes on election day, to clog up the lines at the polls, and the kinds of things we saw in florida especially. those voting wars are going to be accelerated as
it did provide a sufficient votes for democrats in florida, virginia, and ohio. so, you know, the signs were they did pretty well if not as well as twaict and then did well enough. >> just on the one brief comment on the early voting karl rove whose analysis was not distinguished this time either. [laughter] also i've got kind bemewsessed when he said the early voting isn't going to work. they have a massive effort to get the early votes in part of ohio where there's been the war on coal...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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osceola county, florida for example and i know you are very familiar in the orlando area but it's kind of the poster child for places where republicans were just not anticipating this huge new latino routine population would vote and that latino population had a very big down ballett affect as well. democrats one house races in places like a roar of illinois and places like san antonio's texas and even miami-dade. one of the most surprising results out of florida to me the reason obama was able to head off the floor of is the non-cubic hispanics in miami-dade and obama have a higher share of the vote in miami than in 2008 for the rest of the state particularly in the panhandle was going the opposite direction away from the president so very surprising. >> among the people we were talking to about as well as you could have and mitt romney won 59% of white voters even more than ronald reagan in 1980. he did better among the college whites than i expected as i said the college whites share for obama have gone with this conversion of starting around 2000. they are now among them on college
osceola county, florida for example and i know you are very familiar in the orlando area but it's kind of the poster child for places where republicans were just not anticipating this huge new latino routine population would vote and that latino population had a very big down ballett affect as well. democrats one house races in places like a roar of illinois and places like san antonio's texas and even miami-dade. one of the most surprising results out of florida to me the reason obama was able...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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ohio of course is the state that everyone has been paying most attention to and florida is a perennial contender but both of those states could be pretty late in telling us very much, so virginia could give clues if there is a late surge of voters that haven't been picked up in the polls that would be evident. similarly, if obama is getting a large turnout among minority voters, which is crucial for his reelection, that would show up in virginia. so come early in the day, early in the evening i will be watching and i guess i will be joining everybody else in watching ohio with any attention to hamilton county in cincinnati and the counties just outside of hamilton. in 2008 he was the first democrat to carry the county since lyndon johnson. he will probably need to carry it again if he is going to win ohio. all the other side, those counties just outside of hamilton in particular is a very large republican county. john mccain underperformed there. if mitt romney is going to carry the state he will have to do much better. >> david lauter is the washington bureau of chief of the l.a. time
ohio of course is the state that everyone has been paying most attention to and florida is a perennial contender but both of those states could be pretty late in telling us very much, so virginia could give clues if there is a late surge of voters that haven't been picked up in the polls that would be evident. similarly, if obama is getting a large turnout among minority voters, which is crucial for his reelection, that would show up in virginia. so come early in the day, early in the evening i...
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Nov 9, 2012
11/12
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i understand in florida my mother did vote early. the penalties, did any of these have an impact on the election either on the outcome or lengthening the lines of the polls. maybe about a week and a half ago reminding people that a lot of the voter i.d. laws at pastore predators >> restrictive by a lot of the republican legislators in particular were either suspended or postponed before this election. now these are all issues that a lot of lawyers are evaluating now how can you curve this or what type of consequences will be had leader but it ended up not being that big of a factor. what is interesting about fraud and this becomes a partisan issue and if the election result is and that you never hear about it again for the next two years at least. and finding examples of it is something that both parties are trying to do not just for fraud or abuse or any sort of a voter intimidation because then that we can actually hang it on the narrative and you are not seeing that happen. i think it definitely contributed because people just wan
i understand in florida my mother did vote early. the penalties, did any of these have an impact on the election either on the outcome or lengthening the lines of the polls. maybe about a week and a half ago reminding people that a lot of the voter i.d. laws at pastore predators >> restrictive by a lot of the republican legislators in particular were either suspended or postponed before this election. now these are all issues that a lot of lawyers are evaluating now how can you curve this...
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Nov 5, 2012
11/12
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you know, the south florida margin in 2008 was 535,000 votes. and, you know, if he doesn't, if he doesn't do well in south florida, he's going the lose. he's going to lose. he also needs to, he needs to at least keep it close in hillsborough county, the tampa bay area. the republicans would do well to win big in hillsborough county. the republicans will win in a lot of the smaller, rural counties, they should do well in southwest florida, the fort myers, sarasota, collier county area. if we see any slippage in that area, that would spell some trouble for mitt romney. orlando, the democrats should win the orlando area. the president should benefit from the large puerto rican population that's heavily democrat in the orlando area. if we see him not doing well in the orlando area, then it's going to be a long night for president obama. >> well, there are a couple of key areas. first of all, let's go to eastern iowa, and let's look at scott county which on the iowa side of the border would be davenport and bettendorf. a couple hundred thousand peopl
you know, the south florida margin in 2008 was 535,000 votes. and, you know, if he doesn't, if he doesn't do well in south florida, he's going the lose. he's going to lose. he also needs to, he needs to at least keep it close in hillsborough county, the tampa bay area. the republicans would do well to win big in hillsborough county. the republicans will win in a lot of the smaller, rural counties, they should do well in southwest florida, the fort myers, sarasota, collier county area. if we see...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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he jumped back in to the community in florida. as a new business that is about the sustainable farming and eating healthy in the community that has not done it, and he's doing it through. he funded this. and distributed it through facebook. and as a result, i contributed to that. i'm excited. that's how increasingly the things are happening. >> what kind of businesses are you seeing on facebook? i think you mentioned to me a woman who started making toys or pickup pickup pickup puppets. >> it's a such a range. it's great. when you think about -- it always starts from a personal set of interest. almost business story on facebook starts with a person connecting with their friends on the page, talking about a set of interest, realizing maybe i have a business opportunity here. creating a page, ingoing from that. the woman we talked about is a name in north carolina business. and it is a kids clothing business. and it's based in north carolina. they basically distribute economic platform on facebook. they do it through the southwest,
he jumped back in to the community in florida. as a new business that is about the sustainable farming and eating healthy in the community that has not done it, and he's doing it through. he funded this. and distributed it through facebook. and as a result, i contributed to that. i'm excited. that's how increasingly the things are happening. >> what kind of businesses are you seeing on facebook? i think you mentioned to me a woman who started making toys or pickup pickup pickup puppets....
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Nov 15, 2012
11/12
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it was remarkable that it was five days after the fact before we even knew the results in florida. 21st century in the greatest democracy in the world, voting shouldn't be this much of a burden. and in many ways, when you have those kind of extraordinary lines, particularly if you're working, what we in effect have created is a 21st century poll tax. and those of us in the south who have a history where poll taxes were used to restrict voters, what you, in effect, have by having these extensive lines, if you are -- work on an hourly basis or can only get off a bit of time and -- you can't afford to wait three and four and five hours in line to vote. this legislation, the fair, accurate, secure and timely voting act of 2012, the so-called fast act, creates a competitive grant program to encourage states to aggressively pursue election reforms. it would provide incentives for states like virginia to invest in practices and technology designed to expedite voting at the polls and simplify voter registration. the fast voting act addresses this issue in a responsible way. it doesn't add new m
it was remarkable that it was five days after the fact before we even knew the results in florida. 21st century in the greatest democracy in the world, voting shouldn't be this much of a burden. and in many ways, when you have those kind of extraordinary lines, particularly if you're working, what we in effect have created is a 21st century poll tax. and those of us in the south who have a history where poll taxes were used to restrict voters, what you, in effect, have by having these extensive...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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the presiding officer: the senator from florida. mr. nelson: mr. president, the chairman has asked me to manage the bill in the meantime while he is working out with the leadership a list of amendments, so seeing no other senator that wants to speak at this point, if i may then, i will talk about an amendment that would be offered in the future. mr. president, i'm going to offer an amendment to repeal the offset in the department of defense and the v.a. benefits for military widows and widowers the stand-alone bill, s. 260, has wide support from military organizations and has 51 cosponsors in the senate. this is the ninth time that i have and will bring this amendment to the defense authorization act, and it's passed the senate six times over the past decade, including last year by voice vote. the senate has supported eliminating this offset for years, and i hope that this body will remain steadfast in its support for military widows and the survivors. mr. president, you will recall in a number of addresses that president lincoln gave that he spoke
the presiding officer: the senator from florida. mr. nelson: mr. president, the chairman has asked me to manage the bill in the meantime while he is working out with the leadership a list of amendments, so seeing no other senator that wants to speak at this point, if i may then, i will talk about an amendment that would be offered in the future. mr. president, i'm going to offer an amendment to repeal the offset in the department of defense and the v.a. benefits for military widows and widowers...